What do we
really know about the sudden death of an exiled North Korean princeling? Aside
from heated media speculation and an instant
"it's-gotta-be-Pyongyang" reaction from Seoul's spy agency, not much.
As the
investigation continues, the mystery of just what happened to the half brother
of North Korean leader Kim Jong Un as he waited for a flight in a Malaysian
airport only deepens. Was Kim Jong Nam poisoned? Are the two female suspects
trained killers or dupes? How can we be sure that North Korea, which seems the
obvious culprit, was even involved?
South
Korea's National Intelligence Service - no friend to Pyongyang - and eager
reporters across Asia have assembled a dramatic, almost cinematic profile of
the last hour of Kim's life. But there's still a surfeit of unanswered
questions.
Here are a
few:
WAS HE
POISONED?
This one
could be answered fairly soon.
Kim
complained of being sprayed in the face with some sort of chemical before he
died. Presumably Malaysian authorities' autopsy, which has been completed, will
determine whether poison killed Kim, and, if so, what kind.
A big
question is how possible killers would have managed to quickly inflict a fatal
chemical dose on someone in the middle of a busy airport.
South
Korea's intelligence service says Kim almost certainly was poisoned, but it's
unclear whether a needle or spray was used, and the spy agency didn't
elaborate.
One
possibility for the poison is neostigmine bromide, which South Korean officials
said was contained in a pen-like weapon used in a failed North Korean attempt
to kill an anti-Pyongyang activist in 2011.
Or it could
have been cyanide or sarin gas, according to a Seoul university professor who
didn't want to be identified because Kim's autopsy results weren't out yet.
Sarin gas
was used in a deadly attack on Tokyo's subways in 1995.
And if it
turns out that Kim wasn't poisoned? Expect furious media backtracking, and
flustered explanations in South Korea from the spy agency.
WAS IT
REALLY NORTH KOREA?
North Korea,
of course, is the easy answer.
South
Korea's spy service considers the North the bogeyman and almost immediately, in
a private briefing to lawmakers in Seoul, pointed the finger at North Korean
agents for the death, saying that Kim Jong Nam had been targeted for five years
because of Kim Jong Un's "paranoia."
Most news
media have run with this, but, so far, Malaysian officials have provided no
solid links to North Korea.
When asked
Thursday if North Korea was behind the murder, Malaysian Deputy Home Minister
Zahid Hamidi said, "That is speculation."
This doesn't
mean that North Korea couldn't have orchestrated such an attack. It does fit a
certain profile: North Korean agents have, at times, run wild in South Korea,
killing defectors, sometimes with poison, and critics.
WHO ARE THE
ARRESTED WOMEN?
The two
women arrested in connection with Kim's death were spotted on surveillance
video at the airport where Kim fell ill.
Both are
reportedly in their 20s. One held an Indonesian passport. The other had
Vietnamese travel documents and was seen in grainy photos waiting for a cab
while wearing a white jumper emblazoned with "LOL" - internet-speak
for Laugh Out Loud.
But their
possible involvement in Kim's death is still unclear.
Were they
simply in the wrong place at the wrong time? Were they North Korean agents,
maybe even North Korean nationals using false passports? Kim Jong Nam, in one
of his lowest moments, was humiliated while trying to sneak into Japan to visit
Disneyland - with a Dominican passport.
Police are
trying to verify if the women's travel documents are genuine, according to the
Malaysian minister. Police said they have also arrested a third suspect, a
Malaysian man thought to be the boyfriend of the suspect with an Indonesian
passport.
If this was
a carefully planned assassination - years in the making, as South Korean
intelligence claims - it begs more questions: Would North Korean agents be so
easily arrested - one of the women was picked up back at the airport, two days
after Kim's death? Would they really take taxis from the scene of the crime?
ARE OTHER EXILED
NORTH KOREANS IN DANGER?
South
Korea's government said it was boosting security for high-profile defectors in
the South, many of whom already have police protection.
Kim Jong Nam
was long protected in his Macau base by China, according to Seoul's spy
service. South Korean officials say he leaves behind two sons and a daughter
between two different women living in Beijing and Macau.
Ha Taekeung,
a South Korean lawmaker and North Korea human rights activist, said in a radio
interview Thursday that Kim Jong Nam's son, Kim Han Sol, could be in danger
because he knows sensitive secrets about Kim Jong Un's personal life.
Kim Han Sol,
who lived with his father in Macao, referred to Kim Jong Un as a
"dictator" in a 2012 interview.
WHAT WILL
CHINA DO?
China, North
Korea's most important ally, has said little officially about the death.
Beijing reportedly saw Kim as a potential leader should North Korea's
government ever collapse.
An editorial
in Global Times, the ruling Communist Party's English-language newspaper, said
Thursday that China would offer condemnation if Kim was found to have been
assassinated.
"Regardless
of how intense a country's political struggle might be, there is no doubt that
it should never rely on assassination methods as means for its
advancement," said the editorial. "Although a final conclusion has
yet to emerge regarding Kim Jong Nam's sudden death, speculation remains
sharply pointed at Pyongyang."
(AP)
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